Friday, November 16, 2012

Week 11 Fantasy Football Hot 'n' Not - Start'em Sit'em

HOT

QB  
         
Andy Dalton – Coming off a 4 TD performance against the Giants, this week Dalton faces the Chiefs who allow the 3rd highest amount of passing TD’s to QB’s. In terms of Fantasy points allowed to QB’s the Giants are currently 12th and the Chiefs are 11th, so similar production from last week can be expected.

Joe Flacco – Gut call here considering Flacco’s road performance history, but if he were to step up and stomp on his divisional rivals while they are down (Steelers sans Big Ben) this is the time to do it.


Honorable mention:  Brandon Weeden Despite Cowboy’s “shutdown corners” they are tied for the fewest pass interceptions to date at 4. Weeden will have to throw to keep up with the ‘Boys on the road.

RB

Marcel Reece – PPR must start. Touches and Carries make him strong RB2 in standard against a New Orleans team allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to RB’s.

La'Rod Stephens-Howling – LSH is a one week plug n play in both PPR and Standard leagues. Take away his game against San Fran; in his other 2 of last 3 games he is averaging 18.5 carries at 4.1 YPC and 3 receptions. This week on the road on the fast turf of the Georgia Dome, LSH gets a Falcons team allowing the 13th most fantasy points to RB’s.

Honorable mentions:   Shonn Greene and Ronnie Brown

WR

Brandon Lafell – This week’s “flier,” he scored in their first matchup and since then, Tampa Bay has gone on to allow the second most fantasy points to WR’s including most receptions and most yards to WR’s. This is because Tampa Run Defense has allowed the fewest rushing yards to date.

Titus Young – In a shootout at Ford Field, Titus will thrive against a Packers team without Clay Mathews and Charles Woodson. Titus has scored 3 TD’s in his last 3 games and Green Bay allows the 9th most fantasy points and the 6th most receiving yards to WR’s.


Honorable mentions:  James Jones and Danario Alexander

TE

Brandon Myers – Myers wasn’t featured in the rankings earlier in the week because he hadn’t passed his concussion protocols. But he has since then and is a TE1 against a Saints team that just got torched by Tony Gonzalez. In his last two games he has 13 catches 116 yards and 2 TD’s.

Honorable mentions:  Brent Celek and Rob Housler


NOT

QB

Andrew Luck – Pre-Talib, I would have given Luck a chance. But I think BB will allow his new shut down corner to shadow Reggie Wayne all day, making Luck’s safety valve biting toothless.  BB isn’t going to let the new #12 come in to Foxboro and show up his #12.

Watch out:  Matt Ryan (Arizona allows 7th fewest fantasy pts to QB’s and may be sans Julio)

RB

Frank Gore – He’s no Arian Foster and each Defense wants to prove they are the best with Chi-Town DB’s going one on one; Briggs and Urlacher will be eyeing Gore.

LeSean McCoy – Despite a porous secondary (2nd most fantasy pts to WR’s), Redskins surprisingly give up the 9th fewest fantasy points to RB’s and with a rookie QB starting, they won’t let McCoy beat them but force Foles to make plays.


WR

Watch out:  Malcom Floyd – Champ Bailey.

Watch out:  Roddy White – If Julio misses the game, Roddy could face bracket/rolled coverage. Would be PPR monster but could take hit in standard.

Watch out:  Larry Fitzgerald – Boom or bust here with Asante Samuel following him around in a dome setting that took Peyton Manning 3 quarters to figure out.

TE

Rob Gronkowski – With no Aaron Hernandez to help split the seams, Gronk faces an Indy defense that has allowed the fewest points to fantasy TE’s all year  - only 25 receptions for 247 yards and 1 TD. You’re starting Gronk regardless, but he the numbers say he won’t go off this week.

Watch out: Heath Miller (May be asked to block more with focus on run and Leftwich’s SLOW delivery).