Thursday, November 29, 2012

Week 13 Hot 'n' Not

HOT

QB  
         
Ryan Fitzpatrick – After getting a vote of confidence from Chan Gailey, saying they will ride with Fitzpatrick until they ‘develop’ a quarterback of the future and not necessarily look to replace him; maybe that will boost his confidence and thus performance this week vs. the Jags. Jacksonville allows the 10th most fantasy points, 5th most completions and 5th most passing yards to QB’s. 2 weeks ago Jax got shredded by Schaub for 527 yards and 5 TD’s.

Matt Schaub – Schaub is on a roll of late. Over his last two games he’s averaged 421 passing yards and 3 TD’s. This week he faces the Titans who allow more fantasy points to QB’s than his last two opponents (Jax and Det).


Honorable mention:  Brandon Weeden Oakland gives up 2nd most fantasy points and most passing TD’s to QB’s.

RB

Knowshon Moreno – It’s good to be a veteran running back on a John Fox team and even greater to have Peyton Manning as your QB.  After a surprise start last week Moreno ran for 85 yards on 20 touches and caught 4 balls for 26 yards. This week the Broncos face the Bucs and they have allowed the fewest rushing yards to date of any defense in the league. However, that doesn’t scare me when Manning is your QB. He will check in and out of runs and provide many opportunities to catch swing, hook and screen passes. Tampa has allowed the 5th most receptions to RB’s. Moreno is an RB2 in PPR and solid flex in standard leagues.

Jonathan Dwyer – Tomlin has come out and said that Dwyer is his guy. He’s knocked Mendenhall down to 3rd on the depth chart. This week he’ll be asked to help Charlie Batch keep the Steelers in a big divisional game against the Ravens.  The Ravens have allowed the 5th most rushing yards to date. 2 weeks ago Dwyer averaged 4.6 yards per carry against the Ravens and caught 3 balls while splitting duties.

Honorable mentions:   Michael Turner and Jacquizz Rodgers – Saints allow most fantasy points to RB’s.

WR

Pierre Garcon – Last week Garcon caught 4 balls for 86 yards and a TD. This week he faces the Giants and he did not play in that game.  But RGIII still threw for 258 yards and 2 TD’s in that game with his best wideout. The Giants are allowing the 5th most fantasy points and the most receiving TD’s to WR’s.

Ryan Broyles – Last week Broyles amassed a massive 12 targets catching 6 for 126 yards. This week he will start opposite Megatron and benefit from the attention he garners. With Titus Young out of favor with the team Broyles is a sneaky WR3 and has sweet upside in PPR leagues. This week the Lions face the Colts and they allow the 5th most fantasy points and tied for 2nd most receptions to WR’s.


Honorable mentions:  Steve Johnson and Josh Gordon

TE

Dallas Clark – In his last two starts he’s caught a combined 11 balls for 123 yards and 1 TD. This week he goes up against the Broncos and they allow the most fantasy points, 3rd most receiving yards and tied for most receiving TD’s to TE’s.

Honorable mentions:  Martellus Bennett and Ben Watson


NOT

QB

Josh Freeman – While the Broncos allow the 8th most fantasy points to QB’s and you’d figure the Bucs would have to throw to keep pace with Manning in Denver, but the recipe for stopping the Bucs in this game is simple; Put Champ on Vincent Jackson and load the box to stop the Muscle Hamster.

Watch out:  Robert Griffin III – The Giants are the first team to play RGIII twice, so they have their own tape and principals (gaps and fits) to review and the Giants have the second most interceptions this year.

RB

Alfred Morris – He was successful in his first meeting with the Giants, rushing for 120 yards on 22 carries back in week 7, but like RGIII that was his first game against the Giants as well. After week 12 the Giants run defense has been allowing the 4th fewest points to RB’s. Morris has had only had ONE rushing touchdown in the last FIVE games and eclipsed 100 yards rushing once in the  last 4 games.

Doug Martin – See Josh Freeman above. Additionally the Broncos allow the 7th fewest fantasy points to RB’s.

Watch out:  BenJarvus Green-Ellis – Traveling out west to face a Chargers team that allows the 9th fewest rushing yards and the 3rd fewest rushing TD’s.  

WR

Watch out:  Vincent Jackson – Champ Bailey - Poor history when in San Diego.

Watch out:  Brandon Marshall – “U Mad Bro” – Seattle will get in his head and Marshall will take himself out of the game after they bang and push him around all day.

Watch out:  Larry Fitzgerald – Traveling East, Lindley at QB and Antonio Cromartie.

TE

Brandon Myers – The Cleveland Browns allow the fewest fantasy points to TE’s. He hasn’t topped 60 yards since week 6 and only 3 times all year. This is a matchup to avoid.

Watch out: Brandon Pettigrew and Jermaine Gresham.